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The political question, answered honestly

TEXIT

Could Texas actually leave? What would it take? And is it even a good idea?

We're not a political organization and we don't tell Texans how to vote. But TEXIT is the question hanging over our name, so we're going to treat it the way we treat everything else: with receipts, both sides, and no sugarcoating. At the end, we'll tell you exactly where we stand — which is narrower, and more useful, than you might expect.

Part One

Is it legally possible?

The honest answer: not the way most people imagine, and not unilaterally — but the door the Supreme Court left open in 1869 has never been closed.

The Constitution never mentions secession

There is no exit clause. There is also no clause forbidding it by name. The founding document is simply silent — which is why the argument has never been settled by text alone, only by war, courts, and politics.

Texas v. White (1869) is the wall

The Supreme Court held that the Union is "an indestructible Union, composed of indestructible States," and that Texas's 1861 ordinance of secession was legally void. Crucially, the Court left one door open: separation could occur "through revolution, or through consent of the States." Unilateral exit is off the table. Negotiated exit is not.

The 1845 annexation myth

Texas is often said to have reserved a right to leave, or to split into five states. The five-state provision is real — it's in the 1845 Joint Resolution of Annexation. A reserved right to withdraw is not. It appears nowhere in the resolution or the state constitution.

The realistic legal path

A constitutional amendment (two-thirds of both houses of Congress plus 38 state legislatures), or an Article V convention, or an act of Congress with negotiated terms that survives judicial review. Each is a very high bar — and each requires the rest of America to agree.

“There was no place for reconsideration, or revocation, except through revolution, or through consent of the States.”

— Chief Justice Salmon P. Chase, Texas v. White, 74 U.S. 700 (1869)

Part Two

What would it actually take?

A vote is the easy part. Independence is a decade-long project of institutions, negotiations, and arithmetic. Here's the real punch list.

A currency and a central-bank question

An independent Texas needs a monetary system on day one. Keep using the dollar (and inherit the Fed's inflation with none of the vote), issue a new Texas currency (and earn credibility from zero), or build on hard, auditable money. This is the question most independence conversations skip — and the one that decides whether ordinary Texans get richer or poorer.

The grid is already halfway there

ERCOT already runs Texas as its own interconnection, largely outside federal grid jurisdiction. It's the single strongest piece of existing infrastructure sovereignty — and also a reminder of what self-reliance costs when it fails, as Winter Storm Uri showed in 2021.

Defense, bases, and hardware

Fort Cavazos, Fort Bliss, Lackland, Dyess, NASA Johnson, and Corpus Christi Army Depot are federal installations on Texas soil. Ownership, leaseback, or transfer would be one of the largest and most contentious line items in any negotiation.

Borders, trade, and treaties

Texas would need its own customs regime, its own trade agreements (USMCA membership is not inherited), port authority at Houston and Corpus Christi, and 1,254 miles of international border with Mexico — plus a new one with the United States.

Citizenship, benefits, and pensions

Social Security, Medicare, VA benefits, federal pensions, and dual citizenship for 31 million people. These are not abstractions — they are the household-level questions that decide referendums.

The debt split

Any negotiated separation includes a share of the national debt, federal asset valuation, and a settlement schedule. Independence movements worldwide live or die on this arithmetic.

Part Three

Is it a good idea?

Reasonable Texans land in different places. Here's the strongest version of each case — not the strawman version.

The case for

  • Texas alone would rank among the top 10 economies on Earth — roughly $2.7 trillion in GDP, ahead of most G20 nations.
  • It is the nation's #1 energy producer and its top exporting state for more than two decades running.
  • It already operates its own power grid, and has a deep-water port complex, a world-class medical center, and a semiconductor corridor.
  • Self-governance means decisions get made closer to the people they affect — the original American argument.
  • A 2024 Newsweek/Redfield & Wilton poll found roughly two-thirds of Texas Republicans open to independence; the idea is no longer fringe.

The case against

  • Texas v. White means there is no lawful unilateral route. Any real path runs through Washington and 38 other state capitals.
  • Federal spending in Texas — defense, Medicare, Social Security, disaster relief, highways — is enormous and would need replacing or renegotiating.
  • Trade access, currency stability, and capital markets are not automatic. New nations pay a risk premium, sometimes for decades.
  • Texas is politically diverse. A referendum that splits the state 55/45 creates a governance problem, not a mandate.
  • The last attempt ended in the deadliest war in American history. Everyone involved should say the quiet part out loud: the cost of getting this wrong is not theoretical.

The record

How the question kept coming back

1861

Texas secedes — and Sam Houston refuses

The state convention votes to leave the Union. Governor Sam Houston, who warned the state it would be "overwhelmed" and drenched in blood, refuses the Confederate loyalty oath and is removed from office.

1869

Texas v. White

The Supreme Court voids the 1861 ordinance and defines the Union as perpetual — while explicitly preserving "consent of the States" as a lawful route to separation.

2005

The Texas Nationalist Movement organizes

TNM becomes the largest and most durable of the modern independence organizations, building a petition and legislative strategy rather than a rhetorical one.

2021–2023

TEXIT bills reach the Legislature

Referendum bills are filed in successive sessions. None reach a floor vote, but they move the conversation from message boards into committee rooms.

2024–2026

Mainstream polling, mainstream debate

Independence polls in the double digits statewide and far higher among Republican primary voters. The state GOP has repeatedly debated referendum planks. Whatever you think of it, it is now a live political question.

Where we stand

We don't know what Texans will choose. We know what money they'll need.

TEXITcoin is not a secession campaign. We have no plank, no candidate, and no prediction. Texas independence is a decision for 31 million Texans and the ballot box — not for a mining company with an opinion.

What we do have is a narrower conviction. Every scenario on this page — full independence, deeper federalism, or absolutely nothing changing at all — runs into the same problem: the money. A currency you can't audit, issued by people you can't hold accountable, expanded at a rate you don't get to vote on, is a slow tax on everyone who works for a living. That's true in a republic of Texas and it's true in the United States of America.

So we picked the part of the problem we can actually solve. Fixed supply. Proof of work. Open ledger. Mined in Texas, on Texas power, by Texans and their neighbors. No premine, no hidden treasury, no committee that can print more when it gets inconvenient. If you want to check our work, you don't have to trust us — the chain is right here.

TEXIT, to us, has always meant an exit from financial tyranny first. Whatever Texans decide about their politics, we're going to spend the next decade making sure the future of Texas has honest money waiting for it.

A note on sources and neutrality. Legal history here is drawn from the U.S. Constitution, the 1845 Joint Resolution of Annexation, and Texas v. White, 74 U.S. 700 (1869). Economic figures reference publicly reported Texas GDP, export, and energy-production data. Polling references are publicly reported survey results and move over time. TEXITcoin is an independent monetary project and is not affiliated with the Texas Nationalist Movement or any political party or campaign. Nothing here is legal, political, or investment advice.

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